Virginia Bloggers Destroying Mexican Economy
Maybe not, but that conclusion could be drawn from today's Inter-American Development Bank press release. London's Financial Times reported, "US state migrant laws hit cash sent to Mexico". The Washington Post proclaimed, " Remittances to Mexico Slow. Fund Transfers to Relatives Hurt by Tougher U.S. Laws. It could appear that the campaign to staunch the flood of proto-citizens exemplified in the efforts of Black Velvet Bruce Li and others has been wildly successful. Then again the data, as always, may support other conclusions.
Based on a phone survey of 900 people conducted in Spanish, the Inter-American Development Bank concludes that Mexican and other Central American residents in the U.S. are sending less money home than they did in the past.
Allow me to digress at this point. I would love to have heard the conversation that took place during those phone interviews. I recreate from my imagination for you.
Interviewer: Hello, this is the Inter-American Development Bank. We would like to talk to you today about your jobs, wages and spending.
Respondent: How did you get my number, I thought trac phones were not listed.
Interviewer: Don't worry we just called at random. We would like to ask about the type of work you do and where.
R: Wait a minute, I have to look outside.
I: Why?
R: To see if La Migra is there.
I: Don't worry, we are not from ICE. Can I ask you the first question?
R: Yes, o.k.
I: What year were you born?
R: Are you sure you are not from ICE?
I: Yes, we are not from ICE? How old are you?
R: O.K. 37
I: Good thank you. Now what is your current annual income before paying taxes.
R: Mother of God, I know it, its the IRS.
I: No no not the IRS, we are just taking a survey, we won't ask your name or where you live.
R: O.K. so is this what I take home, or what I make. What about the under the table money.
I: Just all your earnings before any taxes are taken.
R: So maybe 27,000
I: Thank you. How long have you been living in the United States?
R: This time?
I: No all together?
R: 12 years.
I: And what state are you living in.
R: Look, you said you were not going to ask where I live. What is this?
I: I am not going to ask where you live, just what state. Is that o.k.?
R: O.K. O.K. Virginia
I: Do you send money back home for your family?
R: Of course I do, why do you think I am here?
I: In what country do you think you will be living five years from now?
R: Do you mean after Azlan or before?
I: No just use the current border for your answer.
R: Ok. the U.S.
I: Thanks. What type of work do you do in the United States?
R: Look mister, I go down the day labor center. Whatever job I can get I do.
I: Right, but what kind of work is that usually?
R: Mostly construction.
I: Compared to last year are you working more hours a week, less hours or the same.
R: The number of new houses is really down, we don't get as many hours as before.
I: Is it easier or more difficult for a Latin American immigrant to get a good paying job in the United States compared to a year ago?
R: Of course it is harder. Everywhere we go the Gringo's are out watching us. Some bosses now want real documents, and there are less jobs.
I: What is the biggest problem for you and your family now in the United States.
R: The bosses are very picky now, they want people with good looking papers.
I: So discrimination against Latin American immigrants is growing?
R: Yes, yes. We are always picked on.
I: And may I ask what is your legal status? Are you a U.S. citizen, a legal resident, or an undocumented immigrant.
R: I knew this was La Migra. No I am not a U.S. citizen and I don't have a green card of my own.
I: Thank you. We really are not going to turn you in. That is our last question. Have a nice day.
End of digression, returning to normal commentary.
The IADB in looking at statistics from the Mexico Central Bank and the national banks of other Central American countries finds that Mexican remittances are up 1% over last year and other Central American remittances are up 8%. The phone interviews indicate that only 64% of Mexican immigrants are sending home remittances compared to 71% the previous year. If average remittance amounts are assumed to be steady and total remittances increased 1% then the total population of Mexican immigrants could have increased by as much as 10% during the year. This increase in supply of immigrant Mexican laborers may be reflected in the greater difficulty in getting jobs.
If total remittances are up slightly for Mexicans and up 8% for other Central Americans, it is difficult to come to the conclusion that the economies of their home countries are being decimated. After all the total money available to be spent at home is increasing and the number of people to spend it is declining.
So let us reexamine the headlines.
US state migrant laws hit cash sent to Mexico. The total remittances is increasing. We can conclude the total immigrant population has increased. There is no evidence presented in the article or the survey that there has been any actual change in state migrant laws, and therefore little to support the headline as a valid conclusion.
Fund Transfers to Relatives Hurt by Tougher U.S. Laws. More than half of the respondents indicated a reason other than immigration laws for why it is more difficult to get a good-paying job. While the 45% who indicated immigration laws were the reason it is more difficult now than a year ago to get a good paying job, this can only be perception. After all, the Congress, much to the dismay of so many actual citizens, has not passed any legislation making immigration laws more stringent. Further there is no evidence in the study that these difficulties were the basis for fewer Mexican remitters.
Sorry BVBL, perhaps you are not destroying the Mexican economy single handed after all.
Read More. . . .
Based on a phone survey of 900 people conducted in Spanish, the Inter-American Development Bank concludes that Mexican and other Central American residents in the U.S. are sending less money home than they did in the past.
Allow me to digress at this point. I would love to have heard the conversation that took place during those phone interviews. I recreate from my imagination for you.
Interviewer: Hello, this is the Inter-American Development Bank. We would like to talk to you today about your jobs, wages and spending.
Respondent: How did you get my number, I thought trac phones were not listed.
Interviewer: Don't worry we just called at random. We would like to ask about the type of work you do and where.
R: Wait a minute, I have to look outside.
I: Why?
R: To see if La Migra is there.
I: Don't worry, we are not from ICE. Can I ask you the first question?
R: Yes, o.k.
I: What year were you born?
R: Are you sure you are not from ICE?
I: Yes, we are not from ICE? How old are you?
R: O.K. 37
I: Good thank you. Now what is your current annual income before paying taxes.
R: Mother of God, I know it, its the IRS.
I: No no not the IRS, we are just taking a survey, we won't ask your name or where you live.
R: O.K. so is this what I take home, or what I make. What about the under the table money.
I: Just all your earnings before any taxes are taken.
R: So maybe 27,000
I: Thank you. How long have you been living in the United States?
R: This time?
I: No all together?
R: 12 years.
I: And what state are you living in.
R: Look, you said you were not going to ask where I live. What is this?
I: I am not going to ask where you live, just what state. Is that o.k.?
R: O.K. O.K. Virginia
I: Do you send money back home for your family?
R: Of course I do, why do you think I am here?
I: In what country do you think you will be living five years from now?
R: Do you mean after Azlan or before?
I: No just use the current border for your answer.
R: Ok. the U.S.
I: Thanks. What type of work do you do in the United States?
R: Look mister, I go down the day labor center. Whatever job I can get I do.
I: Right, but what kind of work is that usually?
R: Mostly construction.
I: Compared to last year are you working more hours a week, less hours or the same.
R: The number of new houses is really down, we don't get as many hours as before.
I: Is it easier or more difficult for a Latin American immigrant to get a good paying job in the United States compared to a year ago?
R: Of course it is harder. Everywhere we go the Gringo's are out watching us. Some bosses now want real documents, and there are less jobs.
I: What is the biggest problem for you and your family now in the United States.
R: The bosses are very picky now, they want people with good looking papers.
I: So discrimination against Latin American immigrants is growing?
R: Yes, yes. We are always picked on.
I: And may I ask what is your legal status? Are you a U.S. citizen, a legal resident, or an undocumented immigrant.
R: I knew this was La Migra. No I am not a U.S. citizen and I don't have a green card of my own.
I: Thank you. We really are not going to turn you in. That is our last question. Have a nice day.
End of digression, returning to normal commentary.
The IADB in looking at statistics from the Mexico Central Bank and the national banks of other Central American countries finds that Mexican remittances are up 1% over last year and other Central American remittances are up 8%. The phone interviews indicate that only 64% of Mexican immigrants are sending home remittances compared to 71% the previous year. If average remittance amounts are assumed to be steady and total remittances increased 1% then the total population of Mexican immigrants could have increased by as much as 10% during the year. This increase in supply of immigrant Mexican laborers may be reflected in the greater difficulty in getting jobs.
If total remittances are up slightly for Mexicans and up 8% for other Central Americans, it is difficult to come to the conclusion that the economies of their home countries are being decimated. After all the total money available to be spent at home is increasing and the number of people to spend it is declining.
So let us reexamine the headlines.
US state migrant laws hit cash sent to Mexico. The total remittances is increasing. We can conclude the total immigrant population has increased. There is no evidence presented in the article or the survey that there has been any actual change in state migrant laws, and therefore little to support the headline as a valid conclusion.
Fund Transfers to Relatives Hurt by Tougher U.S. Laws. More than half of the respondents indicated a reason other than immigration laws for why it is more difficult to get a good-paying job. While the 45% who indicated immigration laws were the reason it is more difficult now than a year ago to get a good paying job, this can only be perception. After all, the Congress, much to the dismay of so many actual citizens, has not passed any legislation making immigration laws more stringent. Further there is no evidence in the study that these difficulties were the basis for fewer Mexican remitters.
Sorry BVBL, perhaps you are not destroying the Mexican economy single handed after all.
Read More. . . .








